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A market in transition: New variables in the Middle East

2016 will be a landmark year for the Middle East region, with new variables impacting the market landscape and inter-regional trade flows. As the flagship meeting place in the region, The 13th ICIS Middle Eastern Base Oils & Lubricants Conference is the ideal forum to debate and discuss the latest industry shifts, and consolidate the business connections which will help you thrive in the new market conditions.
 
Why is the Middle East a market in transition? The promised new Group II and Group III production coming on stream will accelerate the push to higher quality base oils. At the other end of the value chain, the upgrade to CH4 specifications for all countries will see arguably the biggest change in quality in the region. 
 
THIS IS A REAL TIME OF CHANGE, AND THE MIDDLE EAST MARKET IS READY FOR HIGH QUALITY BASE OIL NOW...
 
PLUS: Developments in IRAN have the potential to be a game changer in the Middle East and beyond. On the 10 October ICIS is hosting an in-depth forum on opportunities in Iran and how to do business there. Find out more...


 

Agenda

The speaker program will be addressing "A market in transition: New variables in the Middle East". View the full program below:

Conference Day 1: Tuesday 11 October

9:00
Chairmen’s Opening Remarks
9:15
Macroeconomic Indicators for the Middle East
  • What is the outlook for crude oil?
  • What is the short term financial outlook?
  • In the long term, what are the prospects for the Middle East as an economic hub?
  • What are the implications for base oils and lubricants
Jad Dib, Associate Partner, McKINSEY & COMPANY
10:00
Impact of low crude oil prices on the base oils market
  • Refinery fuels economics in a low crude oil price scenario
  • Base oils can add value - will we see more base oil volumes in the market?
  • How does low crude price affect the different API Groups I, II, III, IV, and V?
Amy Claxton, CEO/Consultant, MY ENERGY
10:45
REFRESHMENT BREAK & NETWORKING
11:15
The Drive to Higher Value Lubricants
  • Identifying major trends that are driving change in the automotive lubricant industry
  • Forthcoming technology requirements will require new, highly engineered fluids
  • How performance requirements are changing around the world and within the Middle East, creating a new frontier for additive chemistry
  • Ensuring lubricants become highly valued components of the powertrain system will be essential to support the investment in new additive technology and innovation that will be needed.
Owen Wyrley-Birch, General Manager, Global Sales, THE LUBRIZOL CORPORATION
12:00
New Group II and Brightstock production in the Middle East
  • An update on new production in the region
  • The changing product slate
  • Potential impact on the Middle East supply landscape
Gerard Heaton, Director – Marketing, SAUDI ARAMCO BASE OIL COMPANY - LUBEREF
Ahmed Massiri, Team Leader, Export Sales , SAUDI ARAMCO BASE OIL COMPANY (LUBEREF)
12:45
LUNCH & NETWORKING
14:00
New production in the region and impact on global trade flows
  • An overview of regional and global new production
  • Changing trade flows in and out of the Middle East
  • What will the new production displace – and where will the displaced product go?
Geeta Agashe, President, GEETA AGASHE & ASSOCIATES LLC
14:45
Trade with African markets
  • History and presence of Total in Africa
  • Supply and trade flows Africa - Middle East
  • Tariffs imposed by some countries will change UAE exports to Africa
Speaker from TOTAL
15:30
REFRESHMENT BREAK & NETWORKING
16:00
Group I base oil in the region: A two-tier market may remain because...
  • There is still a market for Group I products in many countries
  • Therefore what is the medium and long term outlook for Group I?
  • Short term - refinery rationalisations and upgrades
Milind Phadke, Director, Energy, KLINE & CO
16:45
The shipping industry in 2017; Light at the end of the tunnel?
  • Trends 2016-2017 by segments  (with a special focus on tankers / chemical tankers) 
  • Structural and conjectural reasons of a global shipping crisis 
  • An industry under multiple constraints and rising pressure
Caroline Huot, Independent Marine Expert
17:30
CLOSE OF DAY ONE

Conference Day 2: Wednesday 12 October

9:00
Chairmen’s Opening Remarks
9:10
An automotive OEM perspective
  • Drivers of lubricant formulation from the end-customer
  • Their global and regional specifications
  • Fuel economy and emissions control - the twin pillars of lubricant requirements
Eric Johnson, Industry Liaison - Fuels & Lubricants Group, GENERAL MOTORS
9:50
HDDEO quality upgrade to CH-4 in the Middle East, scope of the change and challenge of moving away from mono-grade
  • Overview of the impact to up-grade lubricant performance from API CF to API CH-4 from a technical stand point
  • Base oil options to consider when developing a cost effective CH-4 solution – Scenarios based on available base stocks in the Middle East region, Group I, II and I & III mixes
  • The challenge of formulating mono grade based lubricant with higher performance requirement in a multi-grade world
Ahmad Zareh, Deployment Technologist, INFINEUM
10:30
PANEL DISCUSSION: The implication of CH-4 specifications on the industry in the Middle East
Gerard Heaton, Director – Marketing, SAUDI ARAMCO BASE OIL COMPANY - LUBEREF
Yannick Jullien, Regional Executive Market Manager, INFINEUM
Mohammed Hanif Sattar, Vice President, ALHAMRANI FUCHS PETROLEUM SAUDI ARABIA LTD
11:15
REFRESHMENT BREAK & NETWORKING
11:45
Lower Viscosity Lubricants in the Middle East
  • The move to lower viscosity products in the region
  • GTL, Group III and synthetic sectors
  • Is the region ready NOW for higher quality products?
H ERNEST HENDERSON, President, K & E PETROLEUM CONSULTING
12:30
The Middle East in transition: A round up and summary of key themes
  • A summary of the new variables impacting the region
  • The push to higher quality from new production in the region
  • The push to higher quality from OEM requirements and minimum specifications in the region
  • The Middle East market is ready for high quality base oil NOW
William Downey , SVP for Business Development, Novvi LLC
13:00
Close of Conference and Lunch
Speakers

The ICIS Middle Eastern Base Oils and Lubricants conference agenda annually features a cutting edge speaker line-up of senior industry experts from the highest profile companies in the world. The 2016 speaker line-up will be published soon.

2015 Speakers included:

AMY CLAXTON
CEO
MY ENERGY
Jad Dib
Associate Partner
McKINSEY & COMPANY
William Downey
SVP for Business Development
Novvi LLC
MohammadRezaRastin Farmanesh
Head of Research Department
Behran Oil Co.
Testimonials
 A must attend conference for the global lubricants business
Novvi LLC
For me, a good introduction to the thinking and aims of our lube oil clients, and a useful snapshot of current issues.
Essex Shipping Services
Successful conference.
Gulf Oil International
Global brain in one room
ADNOC Distribution
Great networking, great for lubes/oils/additives
BAPCO
Great networking place. Great speaker.
Petrochemical Industries
Excellent conference to share information and knowledge of lubricants
ADNOC Distribution
Good presentations and attendance
NPL
Great people to meet with, for on the side line business.
Petromin Corporation, Saudi Arabia
The conference was informative and well organised.
National Refinery Ltd
Well attended conference, with excellent program layout and good selection of speakers.
K & E Petroleum Consulting, LLC
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